VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen: GoalBible Expert Predictions, Stats, Free Betting Tips & Odds

The MHP Arena hosts one of the most compelling Bundesliga fixtures of Matchday 33 on 9 May 2026, as VfB Stuttgart take on Bayer Leverkusen in a clash between two clubs fighting for Champions League qualification. Stuttgart sit 5th in the table, while Leverkusen are 4th — both targeting the top-four spots that guarantee UCL football next season. This is a match where neither team can afford to drop points, and the attacking quality on display from both sides should produce an entertaining, high-scoring encounter. Stuttgart come in off three consecutive draws, while Leverkusen are sharp from a 4-1 win over RB Leipzig.

Kick-off is at 13:30 UTC. From my betting view at GoalBible, the standout angle here is the goals market. H2H data shows both teams have scored in 7 of the last 8 meetings, and 5 of the last 6 have gone over 3.5 goals. With neither team playing cautiously and UCL spots at stake, this has all the hallmarks of an open, attacking game that delivers goals.

VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen Free Betting Tips & Our Prediction:

With UCL qualification on the line for both clubs and an H2H record that screams goals, the Over 3 Goals market is the primary play here. Neither side can afford to be overly cautious.

👉 Visit Duelbits to find the best available odds for this fixture before kick-off.

Match Odds

Match Result

VfB Stuttgart @ 2.75

Draw @ 3.25

Bayer Leverkusen @ 2.20

Anytime Goalscorer

Granit Xhaka @ 5.00

Florian Wirtz @ 2.25

Enzo Millot @ 3.50

Both Teams To Score

Yes @ 1.55 (64.5%)

No @ 2.30 (43.5%)

Over/Under

Over 3 Goals @ 1.48

Under 3 Goals @ 2.50

Over 2.5 @ 1.30

Over 3.5 @ 1.90

Player To Be Carded

Granit Xhaka @ 3.50

Enzo Millot @ 3.25

Angelo Stiller @ 3.75

Team Form: VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen

From my point of view at GoalBible, VfB Stuttgart have shown impressive home form throughout the season — 11 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats at MHP Arena makes them a genuine fortress side. Their Champions League ambitions are alive, though a run of three consecutive draws in all competitions has brought some nervousness. Key injuries compound the problem: Ermedin Demirovic, Stefan Drljaca, and Justin Diehl are all unavailable. Despite this, Stuttgart's MHP Arena home record against quality opposition remains strong, and they will push hard here in what is effectively a top-four decider.

As for Bayer Leverkusen, Xabi Alonso's side have responded brilliantly after a difficult mid-season patch. Their 4-1 demolition of RB Leipzig in their most recent match showed a team operating at close to their best, and the Champions League incentive has sharpened their focus. With Florian Wirtz pulling the strings and the wide players offering pace and creativity, Leverkusen in this form are a serious challenge for any Bundesliga home side. They carry their own injury concerns — Schick, Tella, Quansah, Tillman, Tape, and Palacios are all unavailable — but their depth allows them to cope.

VfB Stuttgart Team News

• Available: Enzo Millot, Deniz Undav, Angelo Stiller, Fabian Rieder

• Doubtful: Chris Führich (fitness)

• Out: Ermedin Demirovic (foot injury), Stefan Drljaca (muscle injury), Justin Diehl (ligament injury)

Bayer Leverkusen Team News

• Available: Florian Wirtz, Granit Xhaka, Víctor Boniface, Alejandro Grimaldo, Jonathan Tah

• Doubtful: No significant concerns beyond known absentees

• Out: Patrik Schick (hamstring), Nathan Tella (knee), Jarell Quansah (patellar tendon), Malik Tillman (muscle), Axel Tape (hamstring), Exequiel Palacios (adductor)

Season Performance & Standings

I think the table reflects the closeness of this battle. Both clubs are separated by only a few 

points in the Bundesliga's top-four race, and every result in these final weeks matters enormously for Champions League qualification next season.

Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings

The H2H between these two is one of the most consistently entertaining in the Bundesliga. Goals are the constant — both teams score in 7 of 8 recent meetings. Leverkusen have the edge in wins (5 to Stuttgart's 1 with 4 draws in the last 10), and recent meetings at MHP Arena have often been decided by tight margins.

GoalBible Conclusion

This is a Bundesliga fixture that has proven to produce goals almost every time these sides meet — and with both clubs in desperate need of points for UCL qualification, neither will set up defensively. The goals market is the intelligent play here, backed by overwhelming H2H evidence.

My top pick is: Over 3 Goals @ 1.48 at Duelbits. Five of the last six meetings have produced 3+ goals, and both teams' current situations demand attacking football. This is a strong, evidence-backed selection.

For punters looking beyond the goals market, Bayer Leverkusen Win @ 2.20 is the secondary play — their current form is significantly sharper than Stuttgart's run of three draws.