Paraguay 2026 World Cup Squad Analysis, Odds and Prediction by GoalBible
After missing three straight World Cups, Paraguay is back for 2026. With a manageable group draw, I believe they have a real shot at advancing past the first round.
At GoalBible, we’ve tracked Paraguay’s return closely. Led by legends like José Chilavert and Roque Santa Cruz, Los Guaraníes appeared in four consecutive World Cups from 1998 to 2010.
Their best run came in South Africa, reaching the quarter-finals. But after that, they missed three tournaments. That drought ended when they finished 6th in CONMEBOL qualifying for the 2026 tournament.
Head coach Gustavo Alfaro doesn’t have many global stars. Still, there are several talented players here. With co-hosts USA, Australia, and playoff winner Turkey in their group, Paraguay should at least reach the Round of 32.
Paraguay World Cup 2026 Winner Odds and Implied Probability
FIFA World Cup 2026 – Paraguay to win @ 155.00 on Duelbits
Duelbits offers Paraguay at roughly 155.00 decimal odds. That tells you they aren’t favourites. But they’re not complete outsiders either.
Haiti and Jordan both have higher odds than Paraguay. That tells you Duelbits sees Paraguay as a more credible contender than the long shots, even if they aren't among the favourites.
A big advantage: they avoid any true football superpowers in the group stage. That gives Alfaro’s side a strong chance to advance, especially since the new format allows some third-placed teams to qualify for the knockout stage. A quarter-final run like 2010, however, may be too much for this group.
Paraguay to Win Group D Odds
Turkiye has joined USA, Australia, and Paraguay in Group D. It’s no surprise to see Paraguay as the third favourite to win the group, behind Turkey and the host nation.
After Turkey won their playoff, you’ll get better odds on Paraguay to finish first. In a well-balanced group, they could easily beat odds of around 4.75.
|
Group D |
|
|
USA |
2.35 |
|
Turkey |
2.75 |
|
Paraguay |
4.75 |
|
Australia |
8.00 |
Paraguay Stage of Elimination Odds
Even though Paraguay is the third favourite to win the group, Duelbits still expect them to progress. The eight best third-placed teams across the 12 groups will also qualify for the knockout stage. That gives Paraguay strong odds of 1.50 to reach the knockouts.
A fourth-place finish would guarantee elimination at 2.50. Since this is one of the most evenly matched groups, oddsmakers clearly expect teams to trade points. A top-two finish is also possible for this side.
|
Market |
|
|
To be knocked out in the group stage |
2.50 |
|
To qualify from the group |
1.50 |
Paraguay World Cup 2026 Top Goalscorer Odds
Goals are a real problem for Paraguay. No current player has reached 10 international goals yet. Miguel Almiron leads with nine. Because of that, none of their players are seen as a real Golden Boot candidate. The only two Paraguay players listed are Antonio Sanabria at 100.00 and Julio Enciso at roughly 350.00 with Duelbits.
|
Player |
|
|
Antonio Sanabria |
100.00 |
|
Julio Enciso |
350.00 |
Final Betting Decision from GoalBible
Paraguay won't win the World Cup in 2026. At 155.00 odds on Duelbits, that's clear. But don't count them out for a deep run.
I see three reasons for optimism. First, the group draw is favourable. USA, Turkey, and Australia are all beatable. No superpowers here. Second, the new format sends three teams from most groups to the knockouts. The biggest issue for Paraguay is goals.
After reading our FIFA World Cup 2026 prediction and analysis, better to look at other countries like Brazil or France if you want to bet on an outright winner. Paraguay is a fun story for reaching the knockouts, but the trophy stays elsewhere.
FAQs
1. What are Paraguay's odds to win the 2026 World Cup?
Duelbits offers Paraguay at 155.00 decimal odds. That makes them a long shot, not a favourite.
2. Can Paraguay get out of their group?
Yes. Duelbits has them at 1.50 to qualify from Group D. With USA, Turkey, and Australia in their group, a top-three finish is very possible.
3. What was Paraguay's best World Cup finish?
The quarter-finals in 2010. They reached that stage in South Africa. Since then, they missed three straight tournaments before qualifying for 2026.
4. Who is Paraguay's head coach for 2026?
Gustavo Alfaro. He doesn't have many global stars, but several talented players are in the squad.
Dan - GoalBible Maestro
@Dan - GoalBible Maestro - 30 May, 2025Professional football meme agent and part-time referee in GoalBible Community. My hot takes are spicer than your neighbourhood street food and predictions sharper than last-minute winners.