PSG vs Newcastle: GoalBible Expert Predictions, Stats, Free Betting Tips & Odds

Paris Saint-Germain welcome Newcastle to Parc des Princes on 28 January, with kick-off set for 20:00, in a Champions League group match that carries real betting interest. Both sides come into the final group fixture locked on points, sitting sixth and seventh.

From my position at GoalBible, this is a match where form, venue, and squad depth matter far more than reputation alone. Below, I break down my PSG vs Newcastle prediction, along with the betting tips and odds that stand out most.

PSG vs Newcastle Free Betting Tips & Our Prediction:

Match Result

Paris Saint-Germain @ 1.51

Draw @ 4.7

Newcastle United @ 5.4

Anytime Goalscorer

Ousmane Dembele @ 2.0

Goncalo Ramos @ 2.15

Bradley Barcola @ 2.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes @ 1.6

No @ 2.28

Correct Score

2-1 @ 8.0

2-0 @ 9.25

1-1 @ 9.5

Player Shots On Target

Gonçalo Ramos 1+ @ 1.22

Ousmane Dembélé 1+ @ 1.22

Bradley Barcola 1+ @ 1.25

Player To Be Carded

Joelinton @ 3.1

Sandro Tonali @ 3.2

Bruno Guimaraes @ 3.4

Team Form: PSG vs Newcastle

From my point of view, PSG are right on the doorstep of another Champions League knockout spot. One more win would send them through for the 14th season in a row, which pretty much sums up how reliable they’ve been at this level. Add in the fact they’ve climbed back to the top of Ligue 1, and it’s easy to see how that league form is carrying over into their European games.

At home, they’ve been dependable. Five wins from the last six at Parc des Princes is exactly why teams don’t enjoy coming here. I also think PSG’s recent results against English sides in Paris matter more than people admit, and it adds to the feeling that they’re comfortable in this type of fixture.

Newcastle have already done something special by reaching the knockout rounds, with at least a playoff place secured. That’s a big step for the club. Still, I don’t expect them to settle, especially knowing a win here could move them into the top eight.

The concern is form. They’ve managed just one win from their last four across all competitions, and scoring has clearly been a struggle. Away from home, results have been hit-and-miss, and they still haven’t beaten a Ligue 1 team on French soil. That said, there’s at least some confidence to take from the fact they’ve yet to lose to PSG in Champions League meetings.

PSG Team News

PSG has a few fitness questions to manage. Fabian Ruiz remains out with a knee issue, while Matvey Safonov continues to struggle with a hand injury. João Neves is being monitored due to thigh and muscle problems.

There are also minor knocks for Nuno Mendes and Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha. Achraf Hakimi is expected to be assessed late after returning from AFCON, while Lucas Hernandez is available again after suspension.

In attack, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia scored on matchday seven, and both Ousmane Dembélé and Désiré Doué are pushing for starts after coming off the bench against Auxerre.

Newcastle Team News

From my side, Newcastle doesn’t arrive at full strength. Jacob Murphy and Tino Livramento are both ruled out with hamstring problems, while Jamaal Lascelles is still dealing with a muscle injury. There are also doubts over Fabian Schär and Bruno Guimarães, as both are nursing ankle issues.

I do expect Joelinton to be involved from the start despite a minor knock. William Osula, who missed the Champions League win over PSV, was at least back on the bench against Aston Villa. In that PSV game, Yoane Wissa, Guimarães, and Harvey Barnes all found the net, and Nick Pope picked up his fourth clean sheet of the tournament, only needing to make one save.

Season Performance & Standings

Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings

From what I’ve seen in recent meetings, Newcastle has had the upper hand. They’ve gone two games without losing against PSG, including that 4–1 win at home in the 2023/24 season. In both matches, each side managed to score, but Newcastle were clearly more effective, coming out on top 5–2 in total.

GoalBible Conclusion

From my own betting angle at GoalBible, this feels like a night where PSG’s experience and home control make the difference. Newcastle looked flat against Aston Villa last weekend, and that kind of performance is risky in Paris. I’m backing PSG to win with over 2.5 goals @ 2.19 with BC.Game, which still feels fair given the setting, team news, and attacking output on display.