Everton vs Arsenal: GoalBible Expert Predictions, Stats, Free Betting Tips & Odds
GoalBible brings you a Premier League preview from Goodison Park, where Arsenal travel to face Everton in a match with very different goals on each side.
Arsenal arrive as league leaders, while Everton looks to slow their momentum on home soil. Recent meetings show this fixture is rarely simple, and Saturday’s kick-off at Goodison Park sets the stage for another tight contest. Arsenal’s sharp attack will aim to take advantage of Everton’s defensive issues.
Everton vs Arsenal
Free Betting Tips & Our Prediction:
Arsenal’s strong attacking output, combined with Everton’s struggles at the back, points to a good opportunity for the visitors to take maximum points. Looking at season trends, Arsenal’s league-best defensive record and Everton’s difficulty keeping clean sheets, these are my top betting picks. The main confidence sits with an Arsenal win, supported by their xG numbers and defensive consistency.
|
GoalBible Prediction |
Odds & Bookmaker |
Confidence |
Reason |
|
Arsenal to Win |
2.3 @ BC.Game (43.5%) |
⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Arsenal’s numbers clearly stand out. They sit top of the league with an average of 2.25 points per game, built on a defence that allows just 0.86 Expected Goals Against per match. Everton, in comparison, has produced 20.13 Expected Goals while conceding 22.90 xGA. Arsenal’s stronger defence and higher attacking output, with 27.81 xG created, give them a clear edge over Everton’s mid-table figures. |
|
Bukayo Saka Anytime Assist |
3.75 @ BC.Game (26.7%) |
⭐⭐⭐ |
Bukayo Saka remains one of the league’s key creative players. He ranks second for Expected Assists with 3.65 xA and creates 0.52 big chances per 90 minutes, the highest rate in the league. Everton’s defence, carrying an xGA of 22.90, often allows high-quality chances, particularly from wide areas. Saka’s chance creation from the right side makes an assist a strong option. |
Match Result Prediction
Everton 0 – 1 Arsenal
Team Form: Everton vs Arsenal
Everton’s 2025/26 Premier League campaign has been steady, leaving them 9th with 24 points from a 7-3-6 record. Their progress is built on a practical approach, with a home record of 4-2-2 giving them stability. Going forward, they have generated 20.13 Expected Goals, producing a reasonable return. At the back, their 22.90 xGA places them around mid-table, conceding an average of 1.48 xGA per match. This balance has kept them clear of danger, though their attack limits ambitions beyond mid-table.
Arsenal’s season has been a title push. They lead the table with 36 points from 11 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats. Their success starts with the league’s strongest defence, conceding just 10 goals and allowing only 0.86 xGA per match. In attack, they have produced 27.81 Expected Goals. A strong home record of 7-1-0 has played a key role, and the mix of defensive control and attacking quality sets them apart this season.
Everton Team News
Seamus Coleman remains out until late January with a thigh injury. Jarrad Branthwaite and Merlin Röhl are expected back sooner but will miss this match. Jack Grealish and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall are both doubts, which could limit creativity in attack. Idrissa Gueye and Iliman Ndiaye are unavailable after leaving to join their national teams for AFCON.
Arsenal Team News
Cristhian Mosquera will miss the next couple of weeks with an ankle issue. Kai Havertz and Gabriel are close to returning but are unlikely to feature here. Max Dowman and Ben White are ruled out, while Riccardo Calafiori returns after serving a suspension.
Season Performance & Standings
Arsenal lead the Premier League with 36 points from 16 matches, holding a +20 goal difference. Everton sits 9th on 24 points, reflecting an uneven season marked by defensive errors and missed chances. Arsenal’s 69% win rate is well clear of Everton’s 44%.
|
Team |
Pos |
P |
W |
D |
L |
GF |
GA |
GD |
Pts |
|
Arsenal |
1 |
16 |
11 |
3 |
2 |
30 |
10 |
+20 |
36 |
|
Everton |
9 |
16 |
7 |
3 |
6 |
18 |
19 |
-1 |
24 |
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
Arsenal have had the edge in recent meetings, winning 9 of the last 18 clashes. Everton has still caused problems, with three of the last five games ending in draws or narrow scorelines.
|
Date |
Score |
Competition |
|
05/04/25 |
Everton 1–1 Arsenal |
Premier League |
|
14/12/24 |
Arsenal 0–0 Everton |
Premier League |
|
19/05/24 |
Arsenal 2–1 Everton |
Premier League |
|
17/09/23 |
Everton 0–1 Arsenal |
Premier League |
|
01/03/23 |
Arsenal 4–0 Everton |
Premier League |
GoalBible Conclusion
Arsenal’s season has been built on sharp attacking play and the league’s strongest defence, while Everton has been held back by lapses at the back and limited attacking return. Can the league leaders maintain control at Goodison, or will Everton disrupt them on home ground? From my betting view, Arsenal to win at 2.3 with BC Game stands out, backed by their xG figures, shot quality, and defensive record. The assist market also holds appeal, with Bukayo Saka at 3.75 offering value given Everton’s defensive issues.
Dan - GoalBible Maestro
@Dan - GoalBible Maestro - 30 May, 2025Professional football meme agent and part-time referee in GoalBible Community. My hot takes are spicer than your neighbourhood street food and predictions sharper than last-minute winners.